
McNair Paper 60, April 1999, The Revolution in Military Affairs: Allied Perspectives
3.
The
RMA and Regional Allies: The Asian Case
We
are not seeking here to provide a comprehensive overview for Asian approaches to
the RMA. Rather, we are
establishing a baseline from which to understand the challenge for regional
partners of the United States to pursue the RMA.
It is clear that the Asian industrial allies of the United States,
notably Japan, Australia, and South Korea, find themselves in a situation
different from those in Europe in confronting the RMA and the American
transition. All these factors
provide for a push for a regional RMA within Asia.
Asian
States are not in a formalized alliance akin to NATO, which binds them to
one another.
Asian
States do not have large legacy military industries and systems blocking
innovation.
Asian
States have to confront an ascendant power in the region, China, whereas the
Europeans are dealing with a descendant or collapsed power in their regionCRussia.
The
growth of the threat from the ascendant power is roughly calibrated with the
timeline of an unfolding RMA.
The
maritime interests of key U.S. allies provide a natural military partner for
the Asians, namely the U.S. Navy.
Broad
infrastructure changes are underway in the civilian enablers of the RMA,
namely satellite, space, information and telecommunications sectors.
The Asian currency crisis has set back efforts to bring forth local primes to compete with the United States and thus underscore the need to network with industry outside of the region.
The
Asian allies have the opportunity to partner with U.S. firms, to play off
the competition among U.S. firms, and to partner with European firms seeking
to build global alliances in high-technology industries.
There
have been three variants of a regional RMA within Asia evident in the past few
years.
The
Australian model focuses upon building wide area surveillance, information,
and command links to become a regional military integrator within the region
able to work with the United States and with Australia's adjacent
allies.1
The
Japanese model draws upon its technological relationship with the United
States and its military relationship with the U.S. Navy to put in place a
naval RMA and to build from this to adjacent military technology areas.2
The
South Korean model has been based on the effort of the large industrial
combines to work within the United States and Europe to forge global
partnerships that would allow Korean firms to become primes in the
development of their own military platforms.
The currency crisis has derailed this model.
Paul
Dibb recently provided an overview of the RMA and Asian security.
We will draw upon his analysis in this section to provide some baseline
judgments about the regional specific dynamics of the RMA.
Dibb underscores a key point for the RMA considerations of regional powers.
It
is important to accept that regional countries will adapt the RMA concept to
their own assessments of how to deal with credible military threats.
Those regional states which worry about higher levels of potential
military threat from well-armed neighbors may be more attracted to the concept.
Conversely, countries which perceive a non-threatening or benign
strategic environment may (correctly or incorrectly) see little utility in the
RMA. There may be a third category
of countries which¾
whilst perceiving no immediate threat¾
seek
to assert a margin of military excellence through the judicious use of the RMA
adapted to their particular geographical and technological circumstances.
This latter point raises another related issue.
The RMA as developed by the United States is generally perceived in the
region as too expensive and being on a scale of offensive fire power that has
limited relevance to most (but not all) countries in the region.3
In
characterizing the probable adoption of RMA approaches in the region, Dibb
argues that there are three key discriminators: the relationship to the United
States, the capacity to absorb RMA technologies, and threat perception.4
Table 1. RMA
approaches
|
Tier
1 |
Close
ally of the United States with high capacity to absorb the RMA |
Australia,
Japan, South Korea |
|
Tier
2 |
High
perceptions of threat with moderate capacity to absorb the RMA |
China,
Singapore, Taiwan |
|
Tier
3 |
Moderate
to low perceptions of threat with generally low capacity to absorb the RMA |
India,
Pakistan, other ASEAN countries, New Zealand |
|
Tier
4 |
Extremely
low capacity to absorb the RMA |
Mongolia,
Myanmar, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka, Cambodia, Laos, Papua New Guinea |
In his analysis of the RMA in Asia, Dibb identified a number of core requirements for success:
"Systems integration skills are the most demanding aspect of the RMA. Nurturing those skills and the qualities of creativity, innovation and independence of thinking they require will be one of the great challenges for the region. Japan and Singapore have recognized this to be a key area in their education requirements for the 21st century."5
The development of joint force doctrine is required for the organizational changes associated with the RMA. "By and large, most countries in the region have given insufficient attention to the changes in military culture and organization that are required to maximize the use of the RMA."6
Separate single-service cultures are the norm in the region. "No appropriate set of joint-service operational concepts exists or is practiced in most countries. Deficiencies in command and control reflect poor levels of training and inadequate (or totally absent) doctrinal guidance for combined arms warfare."7
Integrated
logistic support and maintenance is part of the overall infrastructure
required for joint force operations and the RMA.
Here Asian States are even in worse shape than with regard to joint
doctrine.
The
systems integration challenge is a formidable one in the region both within
commercial and military technology. "Systems
integration is also crucial to the effective operation in combat of the
advanced conventional weapons systems being increasingly purchased in the
Asia-Pacific region. Not only
is implementation or planning for systems integration almost totally
deficient in the region, there is also a very limited capacity to modify and
adapt current combat systems that are vital to operational effectiveness.
If the region is to make real advances in self-sufficiency (which is
almost everywhere loudly proclaimed), then this aspect of the RMA will
require much closer attention."8
Dibb
concludes that an ability to work closely with the United States is a key factor
shaping the Asian allied approach to the RMA.
America's
closest allies (Australia and Japan) will share in this process of information
dominance. U.S. naval combat systems¾
characterized
by high-powered phased-array radars with long range and volume search and which
have a comprehensive cruise-missile defense capability¾
are already in service in the
Japanese Navy and may be introduced elsewhere in the region (e.g., South Korea).
The transfer of such advanced technologies will make the U.S. task of
combined operations with its allies in regional contingencies more effective.9
| Contents | Next Chapter |
Notes
1. For example, see David A. Fulghum, "Surveillance, Comm Links Dominate
Upgrade Plans,"
Aviation Week and Space Technology, August 25, 1997, 50-52.
2. "The
advances made in military science and technology are remarkable. As witnessed in the Gulf War, it is not an exaggeration to
say that military technology is a factor that decides victory or defeat in
battle. This year's
white paper on defense devotes a page to current military science and
technology and explains the importance of Japan's
efforts to support and extend military science and technology." Editorial,
Nikkan Kogyo Shimbun, Tokyo, July 16, 1997, 2.
Translated from the Japanese.
3. Paul Dibb, "The
Revolution in Military Affairs and Asian Security," International Institute for Strategic Studies
(London) Annual Conference on Security Challenges in the Rising
Asia-Pacific, Singapore, September 11-14, 1997), 4.
4. Ibid., 10.
5. Ibid., 11.
6. Ibid., 13.
7. Ibid., 15.
8. Ibid., 18.
9. Ibid., 23.