
McNair Paper 60, April 1999, The Revolution in Military Affairs: Allied Perspectives
Epilogue:
Reflections on
the U.S.-European
There
is a widely discussed challenge for the Western Alliance¾
working together in the future as military systems are modernized.
It is not encouraging to think about the most successful military
alliance in history becoming a collective security system with an increasing
inability to mount combined military operations.
This
comes at a juncture when Western states recognize a need to work more closely
with one another in an effort to enhance European security, including
stability in the Mediterranean region. Persistent
differences of opinion and of national approaches complicate an ability of
Western states to work with one another, but a new specter of technological
dissonance threatens their ability to effect joint operations.
Further, although much discussed, there is surprisingly little
analytical work on the problem and, even less so, with regard to practical
solutions for closing the military technology gap in the West.
In part, this is because of the relative "newness" of the problem. With the end of the Cold War, an Alliance postured to defend itself against a large continental military threat had to shift course. Indeed, in the early 1990s, many were debating the continued relevance of the Alliance. Now the Alliance has enlarged with the inclusion of three new states, thus enhancing its relevance to European security.
The
question remains, however, of how the Alliance will operate militarily in the
future and how the global power in its midst, the United States, will operate
with its allies in the years ahead. This
question is particularly underscored as the Alliance reconsiders its strategic
mission. Which military missions
are central to the Alliance? And
which tools and approaches are most salient to those missions?
NATO is in the process of trying to answer those questions. Coming to
terms with solutions for the military technology gap would seem to be central
to the Alliance's
future.
But
just what is the relationship of the "gap"
to greater effectiveness of military coalitions in which Western Europe and
the United States would participate? And
how might we most effectively deal with this Agap@
to enhance our ability to work together?
The U.S. Military in a Time of
Change
The
driver of change in the Western military system is clearly the United States
military and its pursuit of an RMA. To
its credit, the United States is not simply sitting on its legacy military
systems but is seeking to recast these systems into a new military force
capable of operating with new information and communication technologies.
But
there are many debates in the United States about a proper approach to the RMA.
Should there be a modest incremental adaptation of legacy systems to
use new information and communication technologies?
Or should there be a much more radical leap forward, in which the old
division into air, ground and sea forces is absorbed into an entirely new
military system? Not only is
there a broad conceptual debate within the United States about the proper
direction of the RMA, but the services are paradoxically seeking to dominate
the "joint"
force of the future:
The
Army is shifting to become a high-intensity ground maneuver force
directing precision strikes delivered from sea and land.
The
Navy is shifting from a primary emphasis on its blue-water role to attack
from the sea against shore targets and support for operations ashore.
The Air Force is shifting its attention from classic air power to space dominance and trying to transform itself into the premier C4I force for the U.S. joint forces.
As
the United States debates its approach to the RMA and the services struggle to
realign and to redefine themselves, the U.S. military has become absorbed with
its strategic redesign. This is
occurring precisely at a time when the political leadership of the United
States has focused more and more on the requirements for coalition operations
within real world military operations. In
other words, a core tension between the strategic redesign of the U.S.
military and the requirements of reaching outward to work with allies has
become evident. Clearly one part
of the problem of a gap is this tension between internal evolution and
external links.
The RMA Challenge to U.S. Allies
The
RMA is an American concept and frames a debate about the restructuring of
American military forces in the period of globalization of the American
economy. A core task for regional
allies is to seek to understand the scope and character of the American debate
and to identify opportunities and risks to themselves in variant patterns of
development for the American military in the years ahead.
The
RMA rests upon a dramatic restructuring of the American economy.
New technologies are correlated with dramatic changes in organizational
structures as the United States shapes a new century.
The restructuring of the American military is occurring in the context
of the restructuring of American society and in the context of an expanded
global reach for the United States. It
is part of a much broader process of change within the United States and in
the relationship of the United States to the world.
For core allies the United States poses a number of challenges simultaneously. European and Asian allies are struggling to redefine their economic models. Europeans are entering a new phase of development with the emergence of the Euro zone. Associated with this change are dramatic efforts to restructure European culture and economies as well. The enlargement of the European Union comes on top of this and is part of the dynamic process of change. In Asia, the currency crisis is part of a broader stimulus for change in Japan and less developed Asian economies. The American economic restructuring is both stimulus and challenge to change in Asia.
The
new information society emerging in the United States is reshaping the global
reach of American society. The
RMA is part of this broader American assault upon established structures of
industrial states driving change. Coping
with the American challenge, globalization, and emergent technologies, framing
Asian and European variants of information societies, and redefining security
structures to reflect the epochal challenges at home and abroad are formidable
pressures upon European and Asian allies.
For
the United States as the only global power, military instruments are global in
character. The United States is
redesigning its relationships with key industrial allies.
In effect, the United States is trying to set in place a new regional
networking strategy. Broad global military reach is inextricably intertwined with
the global forces of economic and cultural change.
For regional partners of the United States, the RMA is part of a much
broader challenge of organizational redesign and innovation within their
domestic societies and regional frameworks.
For a regional partner operating in a regional network with the United
States, the challenge is to design an approach that can cope with American
power but at the same time be part of the strategic redesign of its own
national and regional agendas.
In
other words, an American RMA will not be replicated by any particular regional
ally of the United States, but will be part of the new face toward the future
of organizational innovation in broader social, economic, and military
structures. Hence, the technology gap is an organizational gap and
globalization response gap as well.
The Impact of Legacy Systems on the Gap
When
the Cold War ended, the Europeans and Americans instantly experienced a power
projection gap and a relevance gap. For
40 years, the Europeans had been oriented toward the defense of Germany
against a large continental military threat.
The United States was not a continental European power and needed air
and naval forces to project power to Asia and Europe to support its interests
and its allies.
The United States as a naval power had a large global navy. The U.S. Air Force had been built around the need to stop the Soviet Army in its tracks to allow reinforcement of U.S. ground forces by sea in the even of war.
European
forces were built around the large and efficient German Army.
The European allies of Germany sought in various ways to block Soviet
projected lines of attack on Germany and the southern and northern flanks.
For this, one did not need power projection forces or a blue-water
navy. Countries that possessed
power projection forces, notably France and Britain, did so largely as a
legacy of earlier overseas operations in support of empire.
But in a constrained resource environment, the competition between
central front defense and other missions was always a drain on European
military budgets.
Without
any RMA, there would be a gap flowing from the different nature of European
and American legacy systems. Added
to this challenge are the adaptations for each of the key Western European
militaries posed by the end of the Cold War:
The
West German Army is becoming a military force for a United Germany.
France
is shifting from a conscript to a professional force with a new focus upon
power projection.
The
United Kingdom is undergoing a fundamental strategic defense review in
which conclusions reached in early reviews (e.g., the Nott review, which
emphasized a significant reduction in the surface navy) are being modified
for the new strategic situation.
The
strategic redesign of Western European militaries is occurring in the context
of profound economic, cultural, and political change. A new Europe is being built, the Euro is being launched, and
the redesign of the European economic model to meet the globalization
challenge is being pursued. Reform
of the military is simply one objective among various contending priorities
for a European reconstruction and renewal.
A European Approach to Military Redesign
In
the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff vision of future warfare (Joint Vision 2010), a number of key trends¾
dominant
maneuver, precision engagement, focused logistics, full-dimension protection,
and information superiority¾
would be
blended together to give U.S. joint and coalition forces full spectrum dominance
in peacetime engagements, in deterrence and conflict prevention, and in
situations where it would be necessary to fight and win.
The capability to blend various new technologies into broad-spectrum
dominance is the RMA goal of the United States. Such an objective is beyond the reach of any single European
state; until there is a real European Union it is impossible to believe military
forces and technologies would be guided by a RMA effort to provide full spectrum
dominance for European forces.
The
alternative would be simply to plug and play within an overall American
architecture, when full spectrum dominance is necessary, but to pursue national
and coalition efforts to provide for specialized capabilities, where necessary
and possible. The United Kingdom
and France could develop joint maritime strike forces; the United States,
France, and Britain could coordinate cruise missile strikes against targets
threatening to their vital national interests; and European army cells could be
linked via information and communication systems into a connected joint force
for peacekeeping operations.
A
European RMA could draw upon the redesign of civilian information and
communications systems as part of the rebuilding of the European economy to
respond to the globalization challenge. A
European RMA would be a subcomponent of a broader redesign of the European
technology infrastructure. The key
states in Western Europe have, in one form or the other, all adopted force
mobility and power projection as the new motif for the transformation of their
militaries. There is little
consensus upon what this means and requires, but the project to transform
militaries to provide for power projection is clearly a driver for change.
The RMA for Western European militaries is a confluence of several challenges:
The need for individual European states to come to terms with the United States and other European allies in reshaping the military instrument. No Western European state has the economic capacity and will to shape a national response to the RMA. The interallied dynamic¾ European and transatlantic¾ is a core aspect of a West European RMA.
The challenge of combining the transformation of European high-technology industry with new technologies for the military. As Europe shifts from legacy systems to new ones, how will European governments redesign their procurement systems, force structure choices, research and development processes, and working relationship with industry (in Europe, the United States, and Asia)? How does globalization of technology industries affect strategic choices in the domain of military technology?
The question of the purpose for deployment of new technologies. Which threats and what requirements are preeminent in shaping defense-planning options? How to transform extant military structures to more effectively meet longer term threats and requirements?
The
challenge of semisovereignty for the defense policy of Western European
States. Membership in the
European Union and NATO for individual states carries with it shared
sovereignty to meet national interests.
How can one shape a national defense policy within key Western
European states in a semisovereign environment?
How can key states effectively combine the requirements for fiscal
support for economic and military transformation in a semisovereign
environment?
In
short, the RMA for Western Europe is part of a broader transformation challenge
for the Western European model of development.
If Europe simply combines its strengths to become a mercantile power,
then the RMA will not receive much support.
If Europe seeks to combine economic strength with diplomatic clout, then
the RMA is part of a broader transformation of the military instruments
available to Europe.
Rethinking the Gap
In other words, the technology gap is more a description of a general challenge than a prescription for change. Europe needs to change its military force structure more dramatically than does the United States, but for the likely missions for which these forces will be deployed, European forces do not need full spectrum dominance.
The
rebuilding of the European economies is a more important challenge than the
rapid reconstruction of the military instrument. The military instrument can be rebuilt as part of the overall
effort to redesign a high technology society within a new European model of
development.
Meeting
these challenges requires putting in place a new architecture for military
industrial development, procurement, and force structure design.
To create such an architecture requires an organizational revolution on
both sides of the Atlantic or the bridging of an organizational gap between
the military and civilian sectors and between the U.S. and European
militaries. Each side of the
Atlantic will need to build connectivity among its forces and pay much closer
attention to the timing and phasing considerations of the other side in
framing joint projects.
The
Architectural Gap
The
United States could pursue its joint force-driven RMA but end up with few real
allies. Alternatively, the United
States could seek to put together an architecture in which it might seek
overall full-spectrum dominance but within an architecture where plug-and-play
allies can develop specialized capabilities and packages of forces to achieve
significant dominance in regional situations.
An architecture that can take into account both the global needs of the
United States and the regional needs of Allies is critical to shaping a force
structure plan for coalition operations.
Put in other terms, how can a U.S. RMA designed for global forces mesh
with a European RMA designed to meet regional requirements?
The Organizational Gap
Each
side of the Atlantic has its own organizational gap problem.
Nonetheless, developing the connectivity needed for communication and
information systems required for joint and coalition forces is a key
interactive challenge. It is not
simply a requirement that the Europeans adopt American solutions to
information and communication connectivity processes after the U.S. joint
forces have picked their best option. Crumbs from the table are not how a European RMA would
develop. Rather, the European
Union is moving east and with it European Union standards for data and
telecommunications systems. European
and American commercial firms will figure out how to make these different
standards work together, and perhaps the military ought to pay some attention
to such solutions. Interoperability
for coalition forces is not simply buying American equipment and catching up
to the Americans.
The
Strategic Partnership Gap
In
high-technology industries, global strategic partnerships are key elements
driving development and growth. It
is not hard to believe that similar partnerships in defense industries need to
follow this trend. Forging real
strategic partnerships, with systems integrators on both sides of the
Atlantic, will be a key part of any interallied RMA.
As
noted in the December 1997 National Defense Panel Report, there is a real need
to "investigate new avenues for
interoperability, including closer links between U.S. and overseas defense
companies."
The
Timing and Phasing Gap
The
core allies of the United States capable of participating in an interallied
RMA¾
Europe
and Japan¾
are undergoing
fundamental transformations in response to the globalization challenge.
U.S. leadership in framing a realistic architecture for the development
of an interallied RMA over the next 20 years would be a real contribution to
transatlantic relationships. The
United States seems too willing to push short-term programs at the expense of
developing architecture.
At
the same time, a Europe that becomes preoccupied with its domestic development
and forgets its military and security responsibilities will not be an ally at
all. The RMA could be used as a
venue for technological change not only within the military sector, but also
as a way to connect the renovation of the military instrument to the redesign
of a new high-technology Europe.
Summary
In
short, there is clearly a technology gap between the U.S. and European
militaries. This is not simply a
question of Europe trying to catch up, but rather of the strategic redesign of
the U.S. military and of the European economies being out of synch with one
another. Framing an interallied RMA,
one that would take into account the need to develop real strategic partnering
among allied defense and high technology industries, might close the gap.
Enhanced effectiveness for coalition forces could be the result.
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