|
McNair Paper 63, All Possible Wars?
Towards a Consensus View of the Future Security Environment, 2001-2025, November
2000
Appendix B
Secondary Sources
Agence France-Presse in Beijing, "Alliances Can Defuse Hegemonism By US," South China Morning Post, March 8, 2000. Allen, Charles T., "Extended Conventional Deterrence: In from the Cold and Out of the Nuclear Fire?" The Washington Quarterly 17:3 (Summer 1994): 203-233. Alberts, David S., John J. Gartska, and Frederick Stein, Network Centric Warfare: Developing and Leveraging Information Superiority, 2d ed. (Washington, D.C.: DOD C4ISR Cooperative Research Program, August 1999). Amnesty International, Amnesty International 1999 Annual Report: International Organizations (www.amnesty.org/ailib/aireport/ar99/intorgs.htm). Anderson, Jennifer, The Limits of Sino-Russian Strategic Partnership, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Adelphi Paper 315 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, December 1997). Anderson, Walter Neal, Overcoming Uncertainty: U.S.-Chinese Strategic Relations in the 21st Century, INSS Occasional Paper 29 (U.S. Air Force Academy, CO: Institute for National Security Studies, October 1999). Arquilla, John, and David Ronfeldt, "Cyberwar is Coming!" Comparative Strategy 12:2 (Spring 1993): 141-165. Archer, Clive, International Organizations (London: University of Aberdeen, 1983). Art, Robert J., "Geopolitics Updated: The Strategy of Selective Engagement," International Security 23:3 (Winter 1998/99): 83-85. Baker, A. D., III, "World Navies in Review," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:3 (March 2000): 30-42. Baker, Brent, "War and Peace in a Virtual World," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 123:4 (April 1997): 36-40. Baker, Howard H., and Ellen L. Frost, "Rescuing the U.S.-Japanese Alliance," Foreign Affairs 71:2 (Spring 1992): 97-113. Baker, James A., "America in Asia--Emerging Architecture for a Pacific Community," Foreign Affairs 70:5 (Winter 1991/92): 1-18. Barnett, Roger W., "Information Operations, Deterrence, and the Use of Force," Naval War College Review 51:2 (Spring 1998): 7-19. Barnett, Thomas P. M., "The Seven Deadly Sins of Network-Centric Warfare," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (January 1999): 36-39. Bartholet, Jeffrey, "A Return to Somalia," Newsweek, November 1, 1999, 50-51. Beall, J. H., "Restore the Focus on Technology," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:6 (June 2000): 56-57. Begert, William J., "Kosovo and Theater Air Mobility," Aerospace Power Journal 8:4 (Winter 1999): 11-22. Bender, Bryan, "USA evaluating defences against nuclear terrorism," Jane's Defence Weekly 34:2 (July 12, 2000): 2. Bergsten, C. Fred, and Marcus Nolan, Reconcilable Differences?: United States-Japan Economic Conflict (Washington, D.C.: Institute for International Economics, June 1993). Bermudez, Joseph S., A History of Ballistic Missile Development in the DPRK, Center for Nonproliferation Studies Occasional Paper 2 (Monterey, CA: Monterey Institute of International Studies, November 1999). Bernstein, Richard, and Ross H. Munro, "China I: The Coming Conflict with America," Foreign Affairs 76:2 (March/April 1997): 18-32. ------, The Coming Conflict with China (New York: Alfred A. Knopf, 1997). Bi, Jianxiang, "Managing Taiwan Operations in the Twenty-first Century: Issues and Options," Naval War College Review 52 (Autumn 1999): 30-58. Billigmeier, Scott, and Ed Glabus, "Future War: 'Information Operations Corps' Comes of Age," Army 47 (December 1997): 45-51. Blaker, James R., "The American RMA Force: An Alternative to the QDR," Strategic Review 25 (Summer 1997): 29-36. Blank, Stephen J., The Dynamics of Russian Weapons Sales to China (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, March 4, 1997). ------, "Preconditions for a Russian RMA: Can Russia Make the Transition?" National Security Studies Quarterly 6:2 (Spring 2000): 1-28. Bloomfield, Lincoln P., The Management of Global Disorder: Prospects for Creative Problem Solving (Lanham, MD: University Press of America, 1987). Bond, Brian, British Military Policy Between the Two World Wars (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1980). Bond, Brian, and Williamson Murray, "The British Armed Forces, 1918-39," in Allen R. Millet and Williamson Murray, eds., Military Effectiveness, Volume II: The Interwar Period (Boston: Allen and Unwin, 1988): 98-130. Bonnart, Frederick, "U.S. Starts to Fret Over EU Military Independence..." International Herald Tribune, May 24, 2000, 1. Boorujy, James R., "Network-Centric Concepts Can Guarantee Access," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:5 (May 2000): 60-63. Bowdish, Randall G., and Bruce Woodyard, "A Naval Concepts-Based Vision for Space," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (January 1999): 50-53. Bracken, Paul, "Sidewise Technology: A 21st Century Driver," unpublished paper prepared for the Alternative Global Futures 2015 Workshop, (Washington, D.C.: September 26-27, 1999). Breemer, Jan, "The End of Naval Strategy: Revolutionary Change and the Future of American Naval Power," Strategic Review 22 (Spring 1994): 40-53. Brown, Lester R., et al., State of the World 2000 (New York: W.W. Norton, 2000). Brown, Seyom, The Causes and Prevention of War, 2d ed. (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1994). Bruger, Steven J., "Not Ready for the First Space War: What about the Second?" Naval War College Review 48 (Winter 1995): 73-83. Brzezinski, Zbigniew, "Living With China," The National Interest 59 (Spring 2000): 5-22. Builder, Carl H., The Masks of War: American Military Styles in Strategy and Analysis (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1989). Butterworth, Fox, and Joseph Kahn, "Chinese Intellectuals in U.S. Say Spying Case Unfairly Cast Doubts on Their Loyalties, The New York Times, May 16, 1999, 1, 32. Cable, James, Navies In Violent Peace (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1989). Callum, Robert, "Will Our Forces Match the Threat," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124 (August 1998): 50-53. Cancian, Mark F., "Anthrax and the Internet," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126 (May 2000): 42-46. Carothers, Thomas, "Civil Society," Foreign Policy 117 (Winter 1999-2000): 18-24. Cebrowski, Arthur K., and John J. Garstka, "Network-Centric Warfare: Its Origin and Future," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124 (January 1998): 28-35. Center for Counterproliferation Research, The NBC Threat in 2025 (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University, 1997). Chanda, Nayan, "Fear of the Dragon," Far Eastern Review, April 13, 1995, 24-28. Chandler, Clay, "Talks Break Off on China Bid to Join WTO," The Washington Post, April 1, 2000, A15. Chandler, Robert W., Tomorrow's War, Today's Decisions (McLean, VA: AMCODA Press, 1996). Chandler, Robert W., with John R. Backschies, The New Face of War: Weapons of Mass Destruction and the Revitalization of America's Transoceanic Military Strategy (McLean, VA: AMCODA Press, 1998). Chang, Felix K., "Conventional War Across the Taiwan Straits," Orbis 40:4 (Fall 1996): 577-608. Chase, Robert S., Emily B. Hill, and Paul Kennedy, "Pivotal States and U.S. Strategy," Foreign Affairs 75 (January-February 1996): 33-51. Chu, Henry, and Richard C. Paddock, "Russia Looks to China as an Ally Amid West's Ire," Los Angeles Times, December 8, 1999, 1 Claude, Inis L., Swords Into Plowshares: The Problems and Progress of International Organization (New York: Random House, 1971). Cohen, Eliot A., ed., Gulf War Air Power Survey: Volume II, Part II (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1993). ------, "The Mystique of U.S. Air Power," Foreign Affairs 73 (January/February 1994): 109-124. ------, "A Revolution in Warfare," Foreign Affairs 75 (March/April 1996): 37-54. Cohen, Eliot A., Aaron L. Friedberg, and Stephen Peter Rosen, The Future Security Environment and American Defense Planning (John M. Olin Institute for Strategic Studies, November 1999). Copper, John F., Taiwan: Nation-State or Province? 3d ed. (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1999). Cordesman, Anthony H., and Abraham R. Wagner, The Lessons of Modern War, Volume Two: The Iran-Iraq War (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990). ------, The Lessons of Modern War, Volume IV: The Gulf War (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1996). Cornish, Edward, et al., The Study of the Future: An Introduction to the Art and Science of Understanding and Shaping Tomorrow's World (Washington, D.C.: World Future Society, 1977). Covault, Craig, "Desert Storm Reinforces Military Space Direction," Aviation Week and Space Technology, April 8, 1991, 42. Covault, Craig, and David A. Fulgham, "Russian Stealth Bomber Design Work Underway," Aviation Week and Space Technology, April 10, 2000, 18. Dahl, Erik J., "We Don't Need an IW Commander," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (January 1999): 48-49. Davies, Caroline, "Drinks, drugs, and terror-cocktail that turns boys into killers. Using children in combat has reached a horrifying scale in Africa," The Daily Telegraph (London): May 25, 2000, 4. Dettmer, Jamie, "Requiem for a Heavyweight," Insight on the News, February 21, 2000, 22. Diamond, Larry, "Is the Third Wave Over?" Journal of Democracy 7 (July 1996): 20-37. Didsbury, Howard F., Jr., Frontier of the 21st Century: Prelude to the New Millenium (Bethesda, MD: World Future Society, 1999). DiNardo, R. L., and Daniel J. Hughes, "Some Cautionary Thoughts on Information Warfare," Airpower Journal 9 (Winter 1995): 73. Donnelly, John, "Haiti's Renewal Slow, and Painful Profound Misery Abounds as Foreign Powers Curtail Aid to Country," The Boston Globe, December 27, 1999, A1. Doran, Charles F., "Why Forecasts Fail: The Limits and Potential of Forecasting in International Relations and Economics," International Studies Review 1:2 (Summer 1999): 11-42. Dorgan, Michael, "Few surprised at firing of Los Alamos Scientist; 'Tip of iceberg' seen on Chinese spying," Arizona Republic, March 14, 1999, A17. Downing, John, "A Japanese navy in all but name," Jane's Navy International 104:3 (April 1, 1999): 33. Dudney, Robert S., "Battle of the F-22," Air Force Magazine 82:9 (September 1999): 16-17. Dunlap, Charles J., Jr., "The Origin of the American Military Coup of 2012," Parameters 22:4 (Winter 1992-1993): 2-20. ------, "How We Lost the High-Tech War of 2007: A Warning From the Future," The Weekly Standard, January 29, 1996, 22-28. ------, "21st Century Land Warfare: Four Dangerous Myths," Parameters 27:3 (Autumn 1997): 27-37. Dunn, Ashley, "The Cutting Edge: Virtual World Leads to Lonely Place, Study Says," Los Angeles Times, August 31, 1998, D1. Ehlers, Vernon J., "Information Warfare and International Security," The Officer 75:8 (September 1999): 28-32. Eikenberry, Karl W., "Does China Threaten Asia-Pacific Regional Stability," Parameters 25 (Spring 1995): 82-103. Eland, Ivan, "Tilting at Windmills: Post-Cold War Threats to U.S. Security," Policy Analysis 332 (February 8, 1999); obtained from website www.cato.org. Eriksson, E. Anders, "Information Warfare: Hype or Reality?" The Nonproliferation Review (Spring-Summer 1999): 57-64. Esposito, John L. "The Islamic Factor," in Phebe Marr, ed., Egypt at the Crossroads: Domestic Stability and Regional Role (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1999): 47-64. Estes, Howell M., III, United States Space Command Long Range Plan (Peterson Air Force Base, CO: U.S. Space Command, March 1998). Fahey, Liam, and Robert M. Randall, Learning From the Future: Competitive Foresight Scenarios (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1998). Falk, Richard A., A Study of Future Worlds (New York: Free Press, 1975). Falk, Richard A., et al., eds., The United Nations and a Just World Order (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1991). Fieldhouse, Richard, and Shunji Taoka, Superpowers at Sea: An Assessment of the Naval Arms Race (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989). FitzSimonds, James R., and Jan M. van Tol, "Revolutions in Military Affairs," Joint Force Quarterly 4 (Spring 1994): 24-31. Fowles, Jib, ed., Handbook of Futures Research (Westport, CT: Greenwood Press, 1978). Frankel, Charles, "Avoiding Cosmic Catastrophe," The Futurist 34:4 (July-August 2000): 23-28. Friedman, George, and Meredith Lebard, The Coming War With Japan (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1991). Friedman, Norman, World Naval Weapons Systems 1997-1998 (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1997). ------, "Steaming Into a New World," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125:5 (May 1999): 53-59. ------, "The China Puzzle Continues to Baffle the West," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:3 (March 2000): 4-6. Friedman, Thomas L., The Lexus and the Olive Tree: Understanding Globalization (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 1999). ------, "Was Kosovo World War III?" The New York Times, July 2, 1999, A17. Fulghum, David A., "Air War in Chechnya Reveals Mix of Tactics," Aviation Week and Space Technology 152:7 (February 14, 2000): 76-77. Funabashi, Yoichi, "Japan and the New World Order," Foreign Affairs 70:5 (Winter 1991/92): 58-74. "Future Schlock?" Foreign Policy 113 (Winter 1998-99): 82. Gamboa, John, "The Cost of Revolution," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124 (December 1998): 58-61. Ganguly, Sumut, "South Asia After the Cold War," The Washington Quarterly 15 (Autumn 1992): 173-184. Garrity, Patrick J., "Implications of the Persian Gulf War for Regional Powers," The Washington Quarterly 16 (Summer 1993): 153-170. Gatchel, Theodore L., At the Water's Edge: Defending Against the Modern Amphibious Assault (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1996). Germain, Randall D., ed., Globalization and its Critics: Perspectives from Political Economy (New York: St. Martin's Press, 2000). Gibish, Jane E., comp., The New World Order: A Second Look (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College Library, August 1994). "Globalisation and Tax," The Economist 354 (January 29, 2000): 64-68. "Globalization Fear Runs Deep, Leaders Tell World Forum," The Toronto Star, May 24, 1998, B1. Goldstein, Steve, "Pentagon Planners Gird For Cyber Assault," The Philadelphia Inquirer, December 1, 1999, 1. Gompert, David C., Right Makes Might: Freedom and Power in the Information Age, McNair Paper 59 (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1998). Goure, Daniel, "The Resource Gap," Armed Forces Journal International 137 (May 2000): 38-42. Graeves, Rebecca K., "Russia's Biological Weapons Threat," Orbis 43 (Summer 1999): 490-491. Gray, Colin S., The Geopolitics of the Nuclear Era: Heartland, Rimlands, and the Technological Revolution (New York: Crane, Russack, 1977). ------, House of Cards: Why Arms Control Must Fail (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1992). ------, "Combating Terrorism," Parameters 23 (Autumn 1993): 17-23. Gregor, A. James, "Qualified Engagement: U.S. China Policy and Security Concerns," Naval War College Review 52:2 (Spring 1999): 74-75. "Greenpeace's Risky Tactics," St. Louis Post-Dispatch, December 7, 1989, A35. Griffiths, Sian, ed., Predictions (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1999). Gross, Daniel, "No Plan," U.S. Airways Attaché (December 1999): 14-16. Grundhauser, Larry K., "Sentinels Rising: Commercial High-Resolution Satellite Imagery and Its Implications for U.S. National Security," Airpower Journal 12 (Winter 1998): 61-80. Guehenno, Jean-Marie, "The Impact of Globalisation on Strategy," Survival 40 (Winter 1998-99): 5-19. Hahn, Robert F., II, and Bonnie Jezior, "Urban Warfare and the Urban Warfighter of 2025," Parameters 29:2 (Summer 1999): 74-86. Hallion, Richard P., Control of the Air: The Enduring Requirement (Bolling Air Force Base, D.C.: Air Force History and Museums Program, September 8, 1999). Hammes, T. X., "War Isn't a Rational Business," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:7 (July 1998): 22-25. Heilbroner, Robert, Visions of the Future: The Distant Past, Yesterday, Today, Tomorrow (New York: Oxford University Press, 1995). Heinl, Robert D., Dictionary of Military and Naval Quotations (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1966). Hirschfeld, Thomas, and W. Seth Carus, "We Need to Understand," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 123:2 (February 1997): 65-68. Hoffman, F. G., Decisive Force: The New American Way of War (Westport, CT: Praeger, 1996). ------, "Countering Catastrophic Terrorism," Strategic Review (Winter 2000): 55-57. Holbrooke, Richard, "Japan and the United States: Ending the Unequal Partnership," Foreign Affairs 70 (Winter 1991/92): 41-57. "How North Vietnam Won the War," The Wall Street Journal, August 3, 1995, A8. Hoyt, Edwin P., Mussolini's Empire: The Rise and Fall of the Fascist Vision (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1994). Huisken, Ronald, The Origin of the Strategic Cruise Missile (New York: Praeger, 1981). Huntington, Samuel P., "Democracy's Third Wave," Journal of Democracy 2:2 (Spring 1991): 27-29. ------, "The Clash of Civilizations?" Foreign Affairs 72:3 (Summer 1993): 22-49. ------, The Clash of Civilizations and the Remaking of World Order (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1996) ------, "The West and the World," Foreign Affairs 75:6 (November/December 1996): 28-46. Hyten, John E., A Sea of Peace or a Theater of War: Dealing with the Inevitable Conflict in Space, ACDIS Occasional Paper (Champaign, IL, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, April 2000). Ignatieff, Michael, Virtual War: Kosovo and Beyond (New York: Metropolitan Books/Henry Holt and Company, 2000). Ikle, Fred C., "Comrades in Arms: The Case for a Russian-American Defense Community," National Interest 26 (Winter 1991/92): 22-32. Institute for National Strategic Studies, The United States and India in the Post-Soviet World (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1993). Isby, David C., "Russia's once-revered spetsnaz look to rally after Chechnia," Jane's Intelligence Review 9 (December 1, 1997): 534-537. Ishihara, Shintaro, The Japan That Can Say No (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1991). Jenkins, James T., "Use Technology...But Don't Trust It!" U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:8 (August 1998): 69-70. Joergensen, Tim Sloth, "U.S. Navy Operations in Littoral Waters: 2000 and Beyond," Naval War College Review 51:2 (Spring 1998): 20-29. Johnson, Dana J., Scott Pace, and C. Bryan Gabbard, Space: Emerging Options for National Power (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1998): 31-32. Johnson, Jay L., "Numbers Do Matter," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (November 1999): 32. Johnstone, Chris B., "Redefining the U.S.-Japan Alliance," Survival 42 (Spring 2000): 173-181. Joseph, Robert G., and John F. Reichart, Deterrence and Defense in a Nuclear, Biological, Chemical Environment, Occasional Paper of the Center for Counterproliferation Research (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University, 1995). Joseph, Robert G., and Ronald F. Lehman II, project directors, U.S. Nuclear Policy in the 21st Century, Final Report (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University/Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, 1998). Kagan, Frederick W., "Star Wars in Real Life: Political Limitations on Space Warfare," Parameters 28 (Autumn 1998): 117-118. Parameters 29 (Summer 1999): 74-86. Kagan, Robert, "How China Will Take Taiwan," The Washington Post, March 12, 2000, B7. Kahn, Herman, Thinking About the Unthinkable In the 1980s (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1984). Kaldor, Mary, New and Old Wars: Organized Violence in a Global Era (Stanford, CA: Stanford University Press, 1999). Khalilzad, Zalmay M., and John P. White, eds., The Changing Role of Information in Warfare (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1999). Kirk, Don, "New Missile Reported in North Korea," International Herald Tribune, February 19-20, 2000, 1. Klain, David R., "Are We Ready for Tomorrow?" U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 122:4 (April 1996): 55-56. Klarreich, Kathie, "The legacy of US, UN intervention in Haiti," The Christian Science Monitor, March 30, 2000, 7. Koch, Andrew, "USA rethinks Libya's status," Jane's Defence Weekly 34:3 (19 July 2000): 22-23. Kosnick, Mark E., "The Military Response to Terrorism," Naval War College Review 53:2 (Spring 2000): 13-39. Krasner, Stephen, ed., International Regimes (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1983). Krepinevich, Andrew F., Jr., "Calvary to Computer: The Patterns of Military Revolutions," The National Interest 37 (Fall 1994): 30-42. ------, Restructuring for a New Era: Framing the Roles and Missions Debate (Washington, D.C.: Defense Budget Project, April 1995). ------, "Military Experimentation--Time to Get Serious," www.csbahome.org, March 3, 2000. Kugler, Richard L., "Nonstandard Contingencies for Defense Planning," in Paul K. Davis, ed., New Challenges for Defense Planning: Rethinking How Much Is Enough (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1994): 165-196. Kull, Steven, I. M. Destler, and Clay Ramsey, The Foreign Policy Gap: How Policymakers Misread the Public (College Park, MD: Center for International and Security Studies at Maryland University, 1997). Kurth, James, "American Strategy in the Global Era," Naval War College Review 53 (Winter 2000): 7-24. Laird, Robbin F., and Holger H. Mey, The Revolution in Military Affairs: Allied Perspectives, McNair Paper 60 (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1999). Landersman, Stuart D., "Sulfur, Serpents, and Sarin," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124.8 (August 1998): 42-43. Leebaert, Derek, ed., Soviet Military Thinking (London: George Allen and Unwin, 1981). Lewis, William H., and Edward Marks, Searching for Partners: Regional Organizations and Peace Operations, McNair Paper 58 (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1998). Libicki, Martin, "Rethinking War: The Mouse's New Roar?" Foreign Policy 117 (Winter 1999/2000): 30-43. Linden, Eugene, The Future in Plain Sight: Nine Clues to the Coming Instability (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1998). Luryi, Surge, Jimmy Xu, and Alex Zaslavsky, Future Trends in Microelectronics: The Road Ahead (New York: John Wiley and Sons, 1999). Luttwak, Edward N., The Grand Strategy of the Roman Empire: From the First Century A.D. to the Third (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 1976). ------, "Toward Post-Heroic Warfare," Foreign Affairs 74:3 (May/June 1995): 109-122. ------, "Give War a Chance," Foreign Affairs 78:4 (July/August 1999): 36-44. MacDonald, D. H. L., "TBMD Could Backfire," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:4 (April 1998): 80-83. MacKinnon, Darrin W. S., "The Asian Anchor," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:9 (September 1998): 62-66. Mahnken, Thomas G., "America's Next War," The Washington Quarterly 16:3 (Summer 1993): 171-184. ------, "Deny U.S. Access?" U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:9 (September 1998): 36-39. Mann, Charles C., "The End of Moore's Law," Technology Review, May/June 2000 (published by M.I.T. at www.techreview.com/articles/may00/mann.htm). Marghella, Pietro, "December 7, 1999: The Second, Silent Attack on Pearl," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (May 1999): 60-65. Martin, Edward L., "The Evolving Missions and Forces of the JMSDF," Naval War College Review 68 (Spring 1995): 39-67. Matthews, Lloyd J., Challenging the United States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically: Can America Be Defeated? (Carlisle Barracks, PA: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, July 1998). Mazarr, Michael J., "Nuclear Weapons After the Cold War," The Washington Quarterly 15:3 (Summer 1992): 185-201. ------, "Clinton Foreign Policy, R.I.P.," The Washington Quarterly 21:2 (Spring 1998): 11-14. ------, Global Trends 2005: An Owner's Manual for the Next Decade (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1999). McKenzie, Kenneth F., "Beyond Luddites and Magicians: Examining the MTR," Parameters 25:2 (Summer 1995): 15-21. ------, The Revenge of the Melians: Asymmetric Threats and the Next QDR, McNair Paper 62 (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 2000). Mearsheimer, John J., Conventional Deterrence (Ithaca, NY: Cornell University Press, 1983). Megargee, Geoffrey P., Inside Hitler's High Command (Lawrence, KS: University Press of Kansas, 2000). Menon, Rajan, "The Strategic Convergence Between Russia and China, Survival 39:2 (Summer 1997): 101-125. Metz, Steven, Strategic Horizons: The Military Implications of Alternative Futures (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College, March 7, 1997). Miskel, James, "Are We Learning the Right Lessons from Africa's Humanitarian Crises?" Naval War College Review 52:3 (Summer 1999): 136-147. Modis, Theodore, Predictions: Society's Telltale Signature Reveals the Past and Forecasts the Future (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1992). Molander, Roger C., David A. Mussington, and Richard F. Mesic, Strategic Information Warfare Rising (Washington, D.C.: RAND, 1998). Momiyama, Thomas S., "Russia, Inc.--Open for Business," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 122 (February 1996): 66-69. Mueller, John, "The Escalating Irrelevancy of Nuclear Weapons," in T.V. Paul, Richard J. Harknett, and James J. Wirtz, The Absolute Weapon Revisited: Nuclear Arms and the Emerging International Order (Ann Arbor, MI: University of Michigan Press, 1998): 73-98. Mufson, Steven, "What's In A Name? U.S. Drops Term 'Rogue State,'" The Washington Post, June 20, 2000, 16. "NMD: The Hard Sell," Jane's Defence Weekly 33 (15 March 2000): 19-23. Nolan, Marcus, "Why North Korea Will Muddle Through," Foreign Affairs 76:4 (July/August 1997): 105-118. North, Robert C., War, Peace, Survival: Global Politics and Conceptual Synthesis (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1990). Novichkov, Nickolai, "Four Sovremennys in total for Beijing," Jane's Defence Weekly 33 (March 15, 2000): 12. Nugroho, Anton, "The Dragon Looks South," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:3 (March 2000): 74-76. Nye, Joseph S., Jr., "What New World Order?" Foreign Affairs 71:2 (Spring 1992): 83-96. ------, "Redefining the National Interest," Foreign Affairs 78:4 (July/August 1999): 22-35 Nye, Joseph S., Jr., and William A. Owens, "America's Information Edge," Foreign Affairs 75:2 (March/April 1996): 20-36. O'Hanlon, Michael E., "Can High Technology Bring U.S. Troops Home?" Foreign Policy 113 (Winter 1998-99): 72-86. ------, Technological Change and the Future of Warfare (Washington, D.C.: The Brookings Institution, 2000). "Operating Abroad," Air Force Magazine 81 (December 1998): 28-29. Orszag-Land, Thomas, "How to Keep Soviet Science Out of the Wrong Hands," The Christian Science Monitor, November 8, 1995, 10. Owens, Mackubin Thomas, "Technology, the RMA, and Future War," Strategic Review 26:2 (Spring 1998): 63-70. ------, "In Defense of Classical Geopolitics," Naval War College Review 52:4 (Autumn 1999): 59-76. Owens, William A., with Ed Offley, Lifting the Fog of War (New York: Farrar, Straus and Giroux, 2000). Peeters, Peter, Can We Avoid a Third World War Around 2010? (New York: Holmes and Meier Publishers, 1979). Peters, Katherine McIntire, "Split Decision," Government Executive, October 1999, 43-48. Peters, F. Whitten, "Whit Peters on the Issues," Air Force Magazine 82 (October 1999): 47. Petersen, John L., The Road to 2015: Profiles of the Future (Corte Madre, CA: Waite Group Press, 1994). ------, Out of the Blue: Wild Cards and Other Big Future Surprises (Washington, D.C.: Arlington Institute, 1997). ------, "Info War: The Next Generation," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 123 (January 1999). Pillsbury, Michael, ed., Chinese Views of Future Warfare, revised edition (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 1998). ------, China Debates the Future Security Environment (Washington, D.C.: National Defense University Press, 2000). Pine, Art, "U.S. Targets Heart of Terror," Los Angeles Times, August 21, 1998, A1. Podlesny, Robert E., "MOUT: The Show Stopper," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:2 (February 1998): 51-55. ------, "Infrastructure Networks Are Key Vulnerabilities," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125:2 (February 1999): 51-53. Pohde, William E., "What is Information Warfare?" U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 122:2 (February 1996): 36-38. Pollack, Jonathan D., and Chung Min Lee, Preparing for Korean Unification: Scenarios and Implications (Santa Monica, CA: RAND, 1999). Porch, Douglas, "The Taiwan Strait Crisis of 1996: Strategic Implications for the United States Navy," Naval War College Review 52 (Summer 1999): 15-48. Postel, Sandra, Pillar of Sand: Can the Irrigation Miracle Last? (New York: W.W. Norton, 1999). Powers, William, "Information Waterbugs," National Journal 31:49 (December 4, 1999): 3458-3461. "Ram Passes OpEval," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:4 (April 2000): 6. Ranft, Bryan, and Geoffrey Till, The Sea in Soviet Strategy (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1983). Reese, David, The Prospects for North Korea's Survival, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Adelphi Paper 323 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, November 1998). Rempt, Rodney P., "We're in the Enemy's Backyard," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 127:7 (July 1999): 43-46. Richter, Andrew, "The American Revolution? The Response of the Advanced Western States to the Revolution in Military Affairs," National Security Studies Quarterly 5:4 (Autumn 1999): 1-28. Richter, Paul, "U.S. Says Raids A Success," Los Angeles Times, August 22, 1998, A1. ------, "Sudan Attack Claims Faulty, U.S. Admits," Los Angeles Times, September 1, 1998, A1. Roberts, Brad, "1995 and the End of the Post-Cold War Era," The Washington Quarterly 18 (Winter 1995): 5-25. Roberts, Brad, Robert A. Manning, and Ronald N. Montaperto, "China: The Forgotten Nuclear Power," Foreign Affairs 79:4 (July/August 2000): 53-63. Robertson, Brian, "Security Cooperation in Asia Pacific," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 122:3 (March 1996): 65-68. Rodenbeck, Max, "Is Islamism Losing Its Thunder?" The Washington Quarterly 21:2 (Spring 1998): 177-194. Rohrabacher, Dana, "Q: Should Congress be concerned about China and the Panama Canal?" Insight on the News, December 27, 1999, 40. Rona, Thomas P., "Deception and the Formulation of National Intelligence Estimates," in Brian D. Dailey and Patrick J. Parker, Soviet Strategic Deception (Lexington, MA: Lexington Books, 1987): 487-508. Roncolato, Gerard, "Methodical Battle: Didn't Work Then... Won't Work Now," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 122:2 (February 1996): 32-33. Rosenau, James N., Turbulence in World Politics: A Theory of Change and Continuity (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1990). Rosenau, James N., and Ernst-Otto Czempiel, Governance Without Government: Order and Change in World Politics (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1992). Ross, Robert S., "China II: Beijing as a Conservative Power," Foreign Affairs 76:2 (March/April 1997): 33-44. Russett, Bruce, Grasping the Democratic Peace: Principles for the Post-Cold War World (Princeton: Princeton University Press, 1993). "Russia's Chechen War: Second Time Lucky?" Jane's Defence Weekly 33 (March 8, 2000): 32-36. Sagan, Scott D., "The Commitment Trap: Why the United States Should Not Use Nuclear Threats to Deter Biological and Chemical Weapons Attacks," International Security 24 (Spring 2000): 85-115. Sagan, Scott D., and Kenneth N. Waltz The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: A Debate (New York: W.W. Norton, 1995). Segal, Gerald, "What China Threat?" Foreign Affairs 78 (September/October 1999): 24-36. Scalapino, Robert A., "The United States and Asia: Future Prospects," Foreign Affairs 70 (Winter 1991/92): 19-40. Scales, Robert H., Jr., "The Indirect Approach: How U.S. Military Forces Can Avoid the Pitfalls of Future Urban Warfare," Armed Forces Journal International 136 (October 1998): 68-74. ------, Future Warfare (Carlisle Barracks, PA: U.S. Army War College, 1999). ------, "Russia's Clash in Chechnya: Implications for Future War," National Security Studies Quarterly 6:2 (Spring 2000): 49-58. Schroeder, Paul W., "Rediscovering the New World Order: A Historical Perspective," The Washington Quarterly 17:2 (Spring 1994): 25-43. Scheer, Robert, With Enough Shovels: Reagan, Bush, and Nuclear War (New York: Random House, 1982). Schmalz, Jeffrey, "After Skirmish with Protestors, Navy Tests Missile," The New York Times, December 5, 1989, A1. Schmitt, Gary, and Thomas Donnelly, "Our Interests Lie With Theirs," The Washington Post, April 23, 2000, B4. Schnurrpusch, Gary W., "Asian Crisis Spurs TBMD," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125:9 (September 1999): 46-49. Schoettle, Peter, "Key Geostrategic Trends: A Cloudy Crystal Ball," Naval War College Review 48 (Winter 1995): 63-72. Schwartz, Peter A., The Art of the Long View (New York: Currency Doubleday, 1996). Shambaugh, David, "China's Military Views the World: Ambivalent Security," International Security 24:3 (Winter 1999/2000): 52-79. ------, "Sino-American Strategic Relations: From Partners to Competitors," Survival 42 (Spring 2000): 97-115. Sheldon, Raymond S., "No Democracy Can Feel Secure," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 124:8 (August 1998): 39-44. "Ship rams Greenpeace; sub unleashes Trident 2," The San Diego Union Tribune, December 5, 1989, A-10. Sidhu, Waheguru Pal Singh, Enhancing Indo-U.S. Strategic Cooperation, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Adelphi Paper 313 (Oxford: Oxford University Press, September 1997). Siegrist, David W., and Janice M. Graham, Countering Biological Terrorism in the U.S.: An Understanding of Issues and Status (Dobbs Ferry, NY: Oceana Publications, 1999). Singh, Sanjay, "Indian Ocean Navies--Learn from War," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 118:3 (March 1992): 51-54 "Sins of the Secular Missionaries," The Economist 354 (January 29, 2000): 25-27. Smith, W. Y., "U.S. National Security After the Cold War," The Washington Quarterly 15:4 (Autumn 1992): 23-34. Sokolski, Henry D., ed., Prevailing in a Well-Armed World: Devising Competitive Strategies Against Weapons Proliferation (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College, March 2000). Solarz, Stephen J., and Michael E. O'Hanlon, "Humanitarian Intervention: When is Force Justified?" The Washington Quarterly 20 (Autumn 1997): 3-14. Spacey, William L., II, Does the United States Need Space-Based Weapons?, Cadre Paper 4 (Maxwell Air Force Base, AL: Air University Press, September 1999). Sprinzak, Ehud, "The Great Superterrorism Scare," Foreign Policy 112 (Fall 1998): 110-119. Staar, Richard F., The New Military in Russia: Ten Myths that Shape the Image (Annapolis, MD: Naval Institute Press, 1996). Starobin, Paul, "What Went Wrong," National Journal 49 (December 1999): 3451-53. Stauffer, Don, "Electronic Warfare: Battles Without Bloodshed," The Futurist 34 (January-February 2000): 23-26. Stevens, Pete, "The Silence of the Labs," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126 (June 2000): 96. Stokes, Mark A., China's Strategic Modernization: Implications for the United States (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, 1999). stratfor.com, "Global Intelligence Update--January 6, 2000" (website, posted January 5, 2000). ------, "Herding Pariahs: Russia's Dangerous Game," Stratfor.com Weekly Global Intelligence Update, February 8, 2000. ------, "The Geopolitics of Fidel," Stratfor.com Weekly Global Intelligence Update, April 10, 2000. ------, "I Love You and the Problem of Cyberforce," May 15, 2000, 3. ------, "Global Intelligence Update--5 June 2000; Retrieving the Irretrievable: The Clinton Foreign Policy Legacy," June 4, 2000. ------, "Russian Military Quarrel Winds Down," Stratfor.com Weekly Global Intelligence Update, August 2, 2000. Sullivan, John D., "Democracy and Global Economic Growth," The Washington Quarterly 15:2 (Spring 1992): 175-186. Sullivan, Kevin, "North Korea Says It Is Running Out of Food," The Washington Post, March 3, 1998, 11. Summers, Harry G., Jr., The New World Strategy: A Military Policy for America's Future (New York: Simon and Schuster, 1995). Sun Tzu, The Art of War, trans. by Samuel B. Griffith (London: Oxford University Press, 1963). Talbot, David, and Ed Hayward, "Students say focus is studies, not spying," The Boston Herald, May 26, 1999, 030. Tangredi, Sam J., "Naval Strategy and Arms Control," The Washington Quarterly 14:3 (Summer 1991): 201-209. ------, "The Fall and Rise of Naval Forward Presence," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126:5 (May 2000): 28-32. Tanter, Raymond, Rogue Regimes: Terrorism and Proliferation (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1998). "The Access Issue," Air Force Magazine 81 (October 1998): 42-46. Thomas, Timothy L., "The Battle for Grozny: Deadly Classroom for Urban Combat," Parameters 29:2 (Summer 1999): 87-102. Tilford, Earl H., Jr., The Revolution in Military Affairs: Prospects and Cautions (Carlisle, PA: U.S. Army War College, Strategic Studies Institute, June 23, 1995). Tipak, John A., "Can the Fighter Force Hold Its Edge?" Air Force Magazine 83 (January 2000): 25-31. Train, John, "Foreign Intelligence Penetration," Strategic Review 27:4 (Fall 1999): 78-79. Trottier, Dave, "The Emerging 21st Century Force Structure Paradigm" (unpublished paper, National War College, 2000). Tsouras, Peter G., Warrior's Words (London: Cassell, 1992). Tucker, David, "Fighting Barbarians," Parameters 28:2 (Summer 1998): 69-79. United States Advisory Panel to Assess Domestic Response Capabilities for Terrorism Involving Weapons of Mass Destruction, First Annual Report: Assessing the Threat (Washington, D.C.: RAND, December 15, 1999). United States Air Force, Information Operations, Air Force Doctrine Document 2-5 (August 5, 1998). United States Commission on National Security/21st Century [Philip L. Ritcheson, primary author], "Study Addendum" to New World Coming (published on website only; not released with report text): September 15, 1999. United States, Congressional Research Service, CRS Report to Congress 97-75 ENR by Zachary S. Davis, Weapons of Mass Destruction: New Terrorist Threat? (Washington, D.C.: Congressional Research Service, January 8, 1997). United States, General Accounting Office, Information Superhighway: An Overview of Technology Challenges, Report to Congress GAO/AIMD-95-23, January 23, 1995. United States, General Accounting Office, Nuclear Nonproliferation: Concerns With DOE's Efforts to Reduce the Risks Posed by Russia's Unemployed Weapons Scientists (Washington, D.C.: Report to the Chairman, Committee on Foreign Relations, U.S. Senate, February 1999). United States, House of Representatives, 105th Cong., 2d Sess., Report of the Select Committee on U.S. National Security and Military/Commercial Concerns With the People's Republic of China, Report 105-851 (Washington, D.C.: Government Printing Office, 1999). United States, House of Representatives, 106th Cong., 1st Sess., National Defense Authorization Act for Fiscal Year 2000 (Conference Report to Accompany S. 1059): August 6, 1999. United States, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Joint Vision 2010 (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, 1996). United States, Joint Chiefs of Staff, National Military Strategy of the United States--Shape, Respond, Prepare Now: A Military Strategy for a New Century (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, 1997). United States, Joint Chiefs of Staff, Joint Doctrine for Command and Control Warfare, Joint Pub. 3-13.1 (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, February 7, 1996). United States, Office of Naval Intelligence, Challenges to Naval Expeditionary Warfare (Washington, D.C.: Office of Naval Intelligence, 1997). United States, Office of the Secretary of Defense, Defense Science Board, 1997 DSB Summer Study: DOD Responses to Transnational Threats, Volume 1-Final Report (December 9, 1997). United States, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Acquisition and Technology, Defense Science Board 1997 Summer Study Task Force on DOD Responses to Transnational Threats (Washington, D.C.: Department of Defense, October 1997). van Creveld, Martin, The Rise and Decline of the State (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1999). Van Riper, Paul K., and Robert H. Scales, Jr., "Preparing for War in the 21st Century," Strategic Review 25 (Summer 1997): 14-20. Van Riper, Paul K., and F. G. Hoffman, "Pursuing the Real Revolution in Military Affairs: Exploiting Knowledge-Based Warfare," National Security Studies Quarterly 4 (Summer 1998): 1-19. Vandergriff, Donald E., "truth@readiness.mil," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 125 (June 1999): 56-60. Varney, James, "Democracy Falters and Haiti Flirts With Chaos: A Nation in Tatters," New Orleans Times-Picayune, March 12, 2000, A01. Vego, Milan N., Naval Strategy and Operations in Narrow Seas (Portland, OR: Frank Cass Publishers, 1999). Veit, Petert, ed., Africa's Valuable Assets: A Reader in Natural Resource Management (Washington, D.C.: World Resources Institute, 1998). Vogt, Larry G., "China's Strategic Seapower," The Submarine Review, July 1997, 47-56. Wack, Pierre, "The Gentle Art of Reperceiving" (article in two parts) Harvard Business Review 85 (September-October 1985): 73-89; 85 (November-December 1985): 139-150. Wallace, William, and Jan Zielonka, "Misunderstanding Europe," Foreign Affairs 77:6 (November-December 1998): 65-79. Wallerstein, Immanuel, The Capitalist World Economy (Cambridge: Cambridge University Press, 1979). Walt, Stephen M., "Why Alliances Endure or Collapse," Survival 39 (Spring 1997): 163-165. Waltz, Kenneth N., The Spread of Nuclear Weapons: More May Be Better, International Institute for Strategic Studies, Adelphi Paper 171 (London: International Institute for Strategic Studies, 1981). Weaver, Greg, and D. J. Glaes, Inviting Disaster: How Weapons of Mass Destruction Undermine U.S. Strategy for Projecting Military Power (McLean, VA: AMCODA Press, no date). Weinberger, Caspar, with Peter Schweitzer, The Next War (Washington, D.C.: Regnery Publishing, 1996). Wilson, Andrew, "Russian Military Haunted by Past Glories," International Defense Review 29 (May 1, 1996): 25. Wirtz, James J., "QDR 2001: The Navy and the Revolution in Military Affairs," National Security Studies Quarterly 5 (Autumn 1999): 52-53. Woodward, Susan L., "Failed States: Warlordism and 'Tribal Warfare'," Naval War College Review 52 (Spring 1999): 55-68. Wright, Robin, "Democracy: Challenges and Innovations in the 1990s," The Washington Quarterly 20 (Summer 1997): 23-36. Ya'ari, Yedidia, "The Littoral Arena: A Word of Caution," Naval War College Review 48:2 (Spring 1995): 7-21. Zimmermann, Tim, "All propaganda, all the time," U.S. News and World Report, November 11, 1996, 48-49.
Zinni, Anthony C., "A Commander Reflects," U.S. Naval Institute Proceedings 126 (July 2000): 34-36.
|