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The March 25-27, 2003 Pacific Symposium, held in Honolulu, examined
reactions to the National Security Strategy (NSS) in the Asia-Pacific
region and how the Strategy could be implemented more effectively. The
symposium was attended by over 220 civilian experts and military officers
from 35 countries in the region, including the participants in Class
1-03 of the Asia-Pacific Regional Security Studies. Panels explored
implementation of the Strategy, national reactions to its key principles,
the state of cooperation on combating terrorism and defusing regional
conflicts in the region, and the prospects for advancing democracy,
economic development, and other non-military elements of the strategy.
The following key points emerged from the proceedings:
1. Most participants noted that their governments welcomed the overarching
principles of the Strategy - maintaining peace and stability and advancing
democracy and prosperity - and the fact that the document reflects longstanding
fundamentals of U.S. Asia-Pacific policy. However, there is also concern
about how the United States plans to apply what the Strategy heralds
as our "unparalleled military strength and great political and economic
influence".
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Participants generally agreed that U.S. alliances, forward presence,
and security cooperation efforts all enhance regional stability.
The positive impact of PACOM's flexible approach to enhanced security
cooperation was also reflected in discussion about terrorism and
a number of other topics.
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There was considerable criticism about the way in which the War
in Iraq was launched. Several speakers spoke of the Iraq "coalition
of the willing" as thinly veiled unilateralism. Concern was voiced
about the Strategy's advocacy of preemptive or preventative wars
against certain states and threats, and the lack of clear criteria
for its application. Some symposium participants discussed concerns
that Iraq might be the beginning of a wider military campaign to
eliminate non-democratic regimes.
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Several participants characterized as inconsistent U.S. use of force
to promote democracy in Iraq, and declared doubts about Washington's
true goals in Iraq and elsewhere because of continued U.S. cooperation
with a number of repressive regimes in the Middle East and Southwest
Asia.
2. Participants lauded the remarkable progress that has been made in
enhancing bilateral, regional, and interagency cooperation in combating
terrorism. This cooperation has opened the door to more productive U.S.
relations with China, the Philippines, and Indonesia.
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The Bali bombings in late 2002 were cited as bolstering regional
consensus on the need to further strengthen counterterrorism cooperation.
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While disrupting Al Qaeda remains a priority, efforts to counter
local terrorist movements remain important as well, since these
groups can provide safe havens, support, and fertile recruitment
grounds for Al Qaeda and other groups with global reach.
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There was a generally positive response to the Joint Task Force
510 briefing on Operation Enduring Freedom in the Republic of the
Philippines, which was viewed as a successful example of integrating,
training, counterterrorism operations, humanitarian relief, and
civic action to undermine support for terrorists and increase the
legitimacy of the host government.
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3. There was considerable discussion of the importance of defusing
the two most pressing conflicts in the region: the crisis on
the Korean Peninsula and the tensions between India and Pakistan
over Kashmir.
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Several speakers called for a more unified U.S.-ROK-Japan
approach, aided by the efforts of China and Russia, to achieve
denuclearization of North Korea and deter Pyongyang from
any lateral proliferation.
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One speaker proposed offering Pyongyang a strategic package
deal: a North-South peace declaration or treaty, North-South
arms control measures, and reductions and relocations of
U.S. forces in exchange for a DPRK commitment to eliminate
all WMD and missiles, and accept conventional force reductions
and relocations.
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Panel 1 participants included:
- Mr. Dan M. Haendel, Office of International Negotiations
and Regional Affairs, Office of the Secretary of Defense
- RADM Michael McDevitt, U.S. Navy (ret.), Center for Strategic
Studies, CNA Corp.
- Professor Shigekatsu Kondo, National Institute for Defense
Studies – Japan
- Mr. Kim Won-Soo, Korean Foreign Ministry, Former Secretary
to the Korean President for Foreign Affairs and Trade
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There was a general consensus on the need to promote dialogue, end
terrorism, and build confidence between India and Pakistan over
Kashmir. Pakistan welcomes international engagement, including a
supervised plebiscite and U.S. involvement. India, while more open
than in the past to international involvement, still prefers to
focus on Pakistan's clamping down on terrorism and implementing
existing confidence-building measures.
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Participants agreed that the international community needed to continue
to help Indonesia and the Philippines to combat terrorism and sectarian
violence, which also pose less dramatic but important risks to regional
stability.
4. U.S. efforts to build an international coalition to combat terrorism
have had a generally positive impact on cooperation with allies and
other powers in the region. That said, allies remain concerned about
the fullness of consultations and whether the U.S. will use its power
for a wider good or simply the advancement of narrow national interests.
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The war on terrorism and the North Korea crisis have strengthened
Tokyo's support for the U.S.-Japan alliance.
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Meanwhile, the North Korean crisis, coupled with political and generational
change and growing resentment with the size and operations of the
U.S. military presence, has strained the U.S.-ROK alliance. Korean
participants suggested that the ROK government needed to do a better
job at home explaining the long-term value of the U.S. presence,
even as it transformed its forces and planning capabilities to take
on new national defense and regional security missions that would
help lessen dependency on the U.S. and transform the Alliance into
a fuller partnership.
5. Participants accept that the prospects are good for achieving the
Strategy's goal of building the "infrastructure of democracy and good
governance" in the region, but many noted that the Strategy fails to
provide a blueprint for achieving these goals other than by enhancing
economic development and application of foreign assistance.
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The Strategy's emphasis on democracy runs against the grain of traditional
reluctance in Asia toward involvement in the internal affairs of
another country. However, the past decade has witnessed a remarkable
shift to greater pluralism in East Asia, and very few hard autocratic
regimes have survived.
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While trends in the region point to a reduction of conflict, instability
due to political turmoil, ethnic violence, poverty, and bad governance
continues to threaten human security in many quarters of the region.
Some populations, particularly in Islamic countries, have come to
associate secular democracy and integration into the global capitalist
economic system as a threat to their culture and fundamental beliefs.
Elimination of poverty and despair are among the best conflict prevention
measures and key to advancing human security and good governance.
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To mitigate the threats to stability posed by radical Islamist movements
in the region, we need a strategy to convince Muslim communities
that integration into the global economy can be achieved consistent
with Islamic values and practices.
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China's ability to address its looming banking and fiscal crises,
as well as to deal with unemployment, social unrest, and corruption,
are key uncertainties in advancing its integration into the global
economy and regional economic and political stability.
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