Forum 42 - Conclusions

• U.S./China relations are at an impasse. Disagreements in one area, notably Taiwan, adversely affect the ability to manage issues in other areas such as proliferation. Beijing believes that the purpose of U.S. policies is to contain China.

• A new strategic bargain is necessary. The end of the Cold War eroded the strategic basis for maintaining stable ties. In the absence of an imperative to regulate and discipline relations, other factors derived from the different histories, values, and perspectives of the two nations are exerting a disproportionate, negative influence.

• Constructing the new strategic bargain requires a new mode of Comprehensive Engagement. The United States and China should reaffirm that the long-term stability of the Asia Pacific region is a shared vital national interest. It is also necessary to approach China from the perspective of clearly ordered priorities and expectations based on vital U.S. interests, to define realistic benchmarks for assessing Chinese behavior, and to decide what compromises might be necessary.

• Managing the new engagement involves a cooling-off period followed by an authoritative restatement of the one-China policy to both Beijing and Taipei. Broadened contacts with the Chinese military establishment and closer consultation with regional friends and allies are also necessary.