2004 Joint Operations Symposium

Meeting Future U.S. Defense Planning Challenges

November 16-17, 2004

Updated:  01 February 2005

 

Location:  National Defense University, Eisenhower Hall (Building 59) and Marshall Hall (Building 62), Fort Lesley J. McNair, Washington, DC

Objective:  To explicate defense strategy and planning issues and address the key security challenges facing the Nation over the next five years – proliferation of weapons of mass destruction and missile delivery systems, terrorism and radical ideologies, redeployment and realignment of the Armed Forces, and international cooperation to meet global security threats. Participants will include government officials, military officers and research analysts from the United States and abroad.

Tuesday - November 16, 2004

0800-0920    Registration - Eisenhower Hall, Room 107

0910-0920    Administrative Remarks, Baruch Auditorium, Eisenhower Hall

0920-0925    Welcome – Major General Frances C. Wilson, USMC, Commandant, Industrial College of the Armed Forces, National Defense University

0930-1100    Panel 1 - Does Strategy Matter?

Does a national security strategy make a difference in operational planning, training, or procurement?

Has the current defense strategy driven any major defense decisions on defense policy, planning, force structure, program or budgeting decisions?

How successfully does the current defense strategy address the evolving security environment?

What are the key issues that the defense strategy of the next administration must address, and how would you generally expect them to affect defense policy, planning, force structure, program or budgeting decisions?

To What extent should the security concerns and defense capabilities of allies and partners be taken into account in the U.S. national security and defense strategy?

Moderator:

Col Anne McGee, USAF, CJCS Chair and Course Director, War Studies Program, Industrial College of the Armed Forces

Panelist:

Dr. Richard K. Betts, Director, Institute of War and Peace Studies, Columbia University

The Honorable Walter B. Slocombe, Attorney, Caplin & Drysdale; former Under Secretary of Defense for Policy

The Honorable Dov S. Zakheim, Vice President, Booz Allen Hamilton; former under Secretary of Defense (Comptroller) and Chief Financial Officer

1115-1245    Panel 2 - Capabilities-Based Planning:  Refining the Concept

What is the emerging approach within the Pentagon and the Combatant Commanders to capabilities-base planning (CBP)?

What is the role of CBP in defense transformation? How well is it filling that role?

What are the linkages of this planning approach to the defense strategy and the Quadrennial Defense Review (QDR)?

How will we frame the overall requirements and threats?

What refinements to CBP should be considered in the next administration?

Moderator:

Mr. Michael Leonard, Director, Strategy, Forces and Resources Division, Institute for Defense Analyses

Panelist:

VADM Robert F. Willard, USN, Director Force Structure, Resources and Assessments, J-8, Joint Staff

Dr. Christopher J. Lamb, Senior Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Mr. James P. Thomas, Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Resources and Plans, Office of the Secretary of Defense

1300-1430    Luncheon - Marshall Hall, Room 155

1445-1630    Panel 3 - Realigning and Managing U.S. Global Force Posture

What key security concerns/threats does force repositioning address?  What is the appropriate pace and scope for realignment?

How will U.S. global force repositioning affect security cooperation with allies?  What has been their reaction to our proposals?

What are the implications for homeland defense resulting from redeployment of U.S. forces?  What are the implications for the war on terror?

What is the expected impact upon public diplomacy and how will the State Department fill this void in U.S. presence and interaction overseas?

What are the costs?  What are the implications for the BRAC?

What is the role and likely position of the Congress on the Administration's proposal?

Moderator:

Dr. Stephen J. Flanagan, Vice President for Research, National Defense University and Director, Institute for National Strategic Studies

Panelist:

The Honorable Lincoln P. Bloomfield, Assistant Secretary of State, Bureau of Political-Military Affairs

Mr. Barry Pavel, Principle Director for Strategy, Office of the Under Secretary of Defense for Policy

Dr. Gordon M. Adams, Director, Security Policy Studies Program, the Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University

Mr. Thomas Donnelly, Resident Fellow, The American Enterprise Institute

Wednesday - November 17, 2004

0810-0830    Optional Tours of NDU Library Special Collections - Marshall Hall and Roosevelt Hall (National War College)

0845-1030    Panel 4 - The Strategic Challenges of Integrating Planning and Operations

There is now a much broader definition of "strategic"  capabilities -- including non-nuclear as well as nuclear offensive (strike forces, air and missile defense, and information operations, all tied together with the necessary command and control and intelligence/surveillance/reconnaissance capabilities.  How best can these strategic capabilities be brought to bear for the purpose of assuring allies and dissuading, deterring, or defeating potential adversaries?

How should we integrate offensive strike and defensive capabilities?  What are the implications for force-sizing or our strategic capabilities?

What are the key issues in planning and integrating strategic capabilities across organizational seams (combatant commands as well as elsewhere in DoD and the U.S. Government)?

Information Operations remain an "invisible" element of our strategic capabilities, what has been achieved towards seamless integration with traditional, kinetic-effect capabilities?

What are the roles for friends and allies?

Moderator:

Maj Gen Charles R. "Ron" Henderson, USAF (Ret.), Vice President National Security Issues, Department Manager and Associate Director, SAIC Nuclear Center

Panelist:

Ms. Elaine Bunn, Distinguished Research Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Dr. Bradley H. Roberts, Research Staff Member, Institute for Defense Analyses

RADM Frank M. Drennan, USN, Director, JFHQ Information Operations, U.S. Strategic Command

1045-1230    Panel 5 - Waging and Winning the Global War on Terrorism

How do we strike the right balance among direct action, nation-building to "dry up the swamps," and developing networks for intelligence collection?

What is the role of public diplomacy?  What are our expectations of its impact?

Where do we stand on assembling, equipping, and fielding the required force?

How well are we succeeding at bolstering our terrorism defense at the U.S. Borders?

Has the reorganization of agencies and establishment of the Department of Homeland Security put into place the people, processes, and focus to provide the most effective defense?

Moderator:

Dr. Audrey Kurth Cronin, Professor, Department of National Security Policy, National War College

Panelist:

Mr. Daniel Benjamin, Senior Fellow, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Mr. James Q. Roberts, Acting Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense, Special Operations/Combating Terrorism, Office of the Secretary of Defense

Dr. Nora Bensahel, Policy Analyst, RAND Corporation

Dr. James Jay Carafano, Senior Fellow, The Kathryn and Shelby Cullom Davis Institute for International Studies, The Heritage Foundation

1245-1415    Luncheon - Marshall Hall, Room 155

Dr. Graham T. Allison, Director, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs, John F. Kennedy School of Government, Harvard University - The Nexus of WMD and Terrorism - Presentation

1425-1610    Panel 6 - Transforming the National Security Bureaucracy

Should we implement a "Goldwater-Nichols II" to transform interagency security planning; intelligence collection, assessment, and dissemination; operational cooperation; and civilian and military career paths to foster a more effective national security system? 

How can we improve coordination and collaboration in policy planning and decision-making (i.e., within the Beltway) and in operational execution (i.e., at the regional level)?

How should we reorganize the intelligence community to sustain the war on terrorism?  In what ways might that reorganization hamper intelligence collection, analyses, and operations that support planning for traditional security threats, crisis management efforts, and post-conflict stabilization and reconstruction missions?

How has the Department of State approached transformation of its structure to become more flexible and operational, to encourage personnel to become more involved in delivery of programs than in diplomatic representation?  What are the key obstacles to this transformation?

How should we reorganize to sustain the war on terrorism and in what ways might that conflict with traditional security threat planning?

Moderator:

Mr. Robert A. Silano, former Editor, Joint Force Quarterly, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Panelist:

Dr. Carnes Lord, Professor of Military and Naval Strategy, Center for Naval Warfare Studies, Naval War College

Dr. Mary O. McCarthy, Office of the Inspector General, Central Intelligence Agency

Ambassador W. Robert Pearson, Director General of the Foreign Service and Director, Human Resources, U.S. Department of State

GEN George A. Joulwan, USA (Ret.) former Supreme Allied Commander Europe Commander-in-Chief, U.S. European Command, and Commander-in-Chief, U.S. Southern Command

Ms. Michele A. Flournoy, Senior Advisor, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies

1615-1630    Summary and Closing Remarks