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2000 JOINT OPERATIONS SYMPOSIUM 

“Quadrennial Defense Review 2001:  Options and Issues for the Next Administration - November 8-9, 2000"

The Sixth Annual National Defense University Joint Operations Symposium was  held at Fort McNair's Marshall Hall on November 8 and 9, 2000.  Titled “QDR 2001:  Options and Issues for the Next Administration,” the symposium provided an informed debate on the critical issues and hard choices that must be confronted in the 2001 Quadrennial Defense Review.   The purpose of the Symposium was to frame issues and build intellectual capital for the upcoming QDR based on the results of the NDU QDR 2001 Working Group--a yearlong study sponsored by the Chairman, Joint Chiefs of Staff and NDU's Institute for National Strategic Studies.  

Seven panels will frame issues and options for the next administration in each of the following areas. 

• Defense Strategy Alternatives for the Next Administration

• Force Sizing Criteria Alternatives:  2 MTWs or Something Else?

• Force Structure and Force Management:  Critical Issues and Choices

• Alternative Paths to Transformation

• The Department of Defense and Homeland Defense

• Cutting the Tail to Sharpen the Teeth

• QDR Process and Politics:  How to Structure a Successful Review

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AGENDA

Wednesday, November 8, 2000 

0730-0830 Registration - Marshall Hall (Building 62) 

0830-0845 Welcome - Vice Admiral Paul G. Gaffney, II, U.S. Navy; President, National Defense University

0845-0915 NDU QDR Working Group – Project Overview  - Ms. Michele A. Flournoy; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University 

0915-1015  Presentation:  A Consensus View of the Future Security Environment 2001-2025 – Captain Sam J. Tangredi, U.S. Navy; Visiting Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University   

1015-1045  Break 

1045-1215  PANEL ONE : Defense Strategy Alternatives for the Next Administration

Presenter and Chair:   Ms. Michele A. Flournoy; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University 

Discussants:              

• "Rear Admiral Barry Costello, U.S. Navy; Deputy Director of Strategy & Policy, J-5, Joint Staff

• Mr. Andrew R Hoehn; Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense (Strategy), Office of the Secretary of Defense

• Dr. Dov S. Zakheim; Corporate Vice President, System Planning Corporation International

• Professor Gordon M. Adams; Director, Security Policy Studies, Elliott School of International Affairs, George Washington University

• Dr. Thomas Donnelly; Deputy Executive Director, Project on the New American Century

1230-1400  Luncheon Speaker:  General Richard B. Myers, U.S. Air Force; Vice Chairman, of the Joint Chiefs of Staff - “Key Issues for the Next QDR”

1415-1545  PANEL TWO: Force Sizing Criteria Alternatives:  2 MTWs or Something Else?

            Presenter:  Ms. Michele A. Flournoy; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University   

            Chair: Lieutenant General Martin Steele, U.S. Marine Corps. (Ret); President and CEO, Intrepid Sea-Air-Space Museum

Discussants:

• Mr. David A. Ochmanek; Senior Defense Analyst, RAND

• Dr. Richard L. Kugler; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University - Replacing the 2-MTW Standard:  Can a Better Approach be Found                                 

• Dr. Barry M. Blechman; President, DFI International - Presentation

• General George Joulwan; Global USA Inc.

1545-1615  Break 

1615-1745 PANEL THREE:  Force Structure and Force Management:  Critical Issues and Choices

Presenter:  Lieutenant Colonel John Spinelli, U.S. Army; Senior Military Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Chair - Ms. Michele A. Flournoy; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University   

Discussants:

• Brigadier General David A. Deptula; U.S. Air Force; Director, Air Force Quadrennial Defense Review

• Brigadier General Hubert L. Hartsell, U.S. Army; Army Director, Quadrennial Defense Review, Office of the Vice Chief of Staff

• Major General Robert Magnus, U.S. Marine Corps; Director, USMC Quadrennial Defense Review, Headquarters U.S. Marine Corps

• Rear Admiral Joseph A. Sestak, Jr., Director, Quadrennial Defense Review Cell, Deputy Chief of Naval Operations - Resources, Warfare Requirements & Assessments

• Dr. Paul H. Richanbach; Principal Deputy Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, Office of the Secretary of Defense

1745-1900  Hosted Reception

Thursday, November 9, 2000

0800-0900 Presentation:  A Methodology for Assessing Risk – Lieutenant Colonel Kenneth F. McKenzie, U.S. Marine Corps; Visiting Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University 

0900-0930 Break 

0930-1100  PANEL FOUR:  Alternative Paths to Transformation

Presenter and Chair:  Dr. Michael E. O’Hanlon; Senior Fellow, Brookings Institution

Discussants:

• Dr. Ted S. Gold; Director, Joint Advanced Warfighting Program, Institute for Defense Analyses

• Admiral Harold W. Gehman, Jr., U.S. Navy (Retired)

• Dr. Andrew F. Krepinevich; Executive Director, Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments

• Dr. Edward L. Warner, III; RAND

1100-1115   Break 

1115-1245   PANEL FIVE:  The Department of Defense and Homeland Defense

Presenter and Chair:     Dr. W. Seth Carus; Counter-Proliferation Center, National Defense University 

Discussants:

• Dr. Kevin O'Prey, DFI International

• Dr. Joseph J. Collins, Senior Fellow, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies

• Mr. Randy Larsen, ANSER Corporation - Presentation

• Lieutenant General Thomas N. Burnette, Jr., U.S. Army; Deputy Commander in Chief, United States Joint Forces Command

• Ms. Pamela B. Berkowsky; Assistant Chief of Staff to the Secretary of Defense and Assistant to the Secretary for Civil Support

1300-1430   Luncheon Speaker:  Senator Jack Reed, (D-RI), Member, Senate Armed Services Committee; "What the Hill Expects from the Next QDR"

1445-1615    PANEL SIX:  Cutting the Tail to Sharpen the Teeth

  Presenter and Chair:   Mr. Christopher Jehn, Assistant Director for National Security, Congressional Budget Office

Discussants:  

• Mr. Arnold Punaro; Science Applications International Corporation - Presentation

• Dr. Samuel D. Kleinman; Vice President, Research Analyses Division, Center for Naval Analyses

1615-1730    PANEL SEVEN: The QDR Process and Politics:  How to Structure a Successful Review

Presenter and Chair:     Ms. Michele A. Flournoy; Distinguished Research Professor, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

Discussants:                 

• Vice Admiral Scott A. Fry, U.S. Navy; Director, The Joint Staff

• Lieutenant General Martin Steele, U.S. Marine Corps. (Ret); President and CEO, Intrepid Sea-Air-Space Museum

• Mr. Robert R. Soule; Director, Program Analysis and Evaluation, Office of the Secretary of Defense

• Mr. Charles Alsup; Senate Armed Services Committee

Master of Ceremonies:  Lieutenant Colonel Philip M. Ruhlman, U.S. Air Force; Senior Military Fellow, Institute for National Strategic Studies, National Defense University

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