Japan’s New Global Engagement
A Paper for
The National Defense University
Seminar:
Meeting U.S. Security
Challenges in a Changing Asia
Panel on Key Changes in the Geopolitical
Structure in Asia
April 22, 2004
By
Yoshihisa Komori, Editor-at-Large
The Sankei Shimbun
On
his most recent trip to Asia in mid-April, Vice President Dick Cheney
gave a major speech in Tokyo where he noted the
significance of what he termed “Japan’s willingness to take
on increasing responsibilities” for security matters. He specifically gave favorable mention to
such recent actions as Japan’s unprecedented
deployments of Self Defense Forces to the Indian Ocean and Iraq.
Mr.
Cheney, needless to say, is not the only American observer who pays heed to Japan’s new direction in the
field of security and defense. In fact, Japan’s current movements in
this regard have attracted domestic and international attention, emerging as a
subject of serious scrutiny for policy studies among many observers.
While the American Vice President welcomes Japan’s new efforts, concerns
and reservations have also been expressed.
Typically, for one, some Chinese official critiques pronounced Japan’s moves to be a
potential step toward the revival of Japanese militarism. Among American
observers, for another, some have suggested they could be a destabilizing
factor in the East Asian security calculus.
Within Japan itself the measures
have been largely welcomed but with some unease because both the security
threats and the reaction represent a departure from the pattern of the
post-WWII years.
In order to understand how these changes might affect Japan’s external posture and
the U.S.-Japan alliance, it is important to first examine Japan’s new security-related
movements and the dynamics behind them. Actions
of significance most recently taken by Japan, in chronological
order, include the following.
1.
In
November 2001, Japan sent Maritime Self
Defense Forces ships to the Indian Ocean to support the U.S.-led
coalition forces engaged in the removal of the Taliban regime and Al Qaeda from
Afghanistan. In December 2002, Japan also sent a MSDF Aegis
destroyer to join this fleet.
2.
In
June 2003, Japan tackled a heretofore taboo subject: the Diet enacted a an emergency national
defense law that enables the Self Defense forces to exercise special rights in
the use of lands and transportation in the event of an armed attack.
3.
In
December 2003, the Japanese government took the decision to introduce the
American missile defense system into the Japanese defense structure, starting
it off for the first year with an allocation of 1 billion dollars in the 2004
budget for the deployment of the ship-launched Standard Missile-3 and the
ground-based Patriot Advanced Capability-3.
4.
In
February 2004, Japan dispatched a contingent
of Ground Self Defense Forces to Iraq for non-combatant
support roles for the coalition forces, marking the very first time in
post-World WarⅡhistory that Japan has sent its troops to
a country where combat is ongoing.
5.
In
March 2004, the ruling Liberal Democratic Party officially started the process
of drafting a new Constitution with the aim of announcing the final proposed
version in November 2005. As dramatic as
this sounds, the opposition Democratic Party had
already decided in 2003 to study the possible revision of the Constitution.
6.
In
April 2004, Japan’s LDP introduced
legislation designed to authorize the government to ban certain North Korean
ships from entering Japanese ports. If
it becomes a law, it would constitute a powerful tool for economic sanctions
against North Korea.
These
measures and movements taken together might give the casual observer an
impression that Japan has embarked upon the path of assertiveness, readying
itself to undertake a new regional or possibly global military role. The
reality, however, is different. The new security-related measures are more
appropriately characterized as an effort to fill longstanding gaping holes
punctured into national defense mechanism than an attempt to build any new
protruding military architecture.
Post-war Japanese national defense efforts
were severely constrained by its pacific Constitution and restrictions
emanating from its provisions in the way no other modern sovereign nation’s
defense effort has ever experienced. The
depth and scope of the legal and psychological constraints for Japan in this regard are
perhaps far greater than international observers might assume.
To
cite a most recent and demonstrable example, the Self Defense Forces unit
stationed in Iraq was not allowed to be
engaged in rescue missions for the three Japanese citizens who had been
abducted and held hostage in an area not distant from the unit. The reason is a ban, deriving originally from
the Constitution, imposed on the SDF’s missions
including any rescue attempt for Japanese nationals that might entail
combat. An armed force that is
institutionally prohibited from engaging in rescue missions of its own citizens
is an anomaly to say the least.
The
origin of this constraint is the famous Article 9 of the Constitution, drafted
by the staff of General Douglas MacArthur. Article 9 states that “the Japanese people
forever renounce war as a sovereign right of the nation and the threat or use
of force as a means of settling international disputes.” It also states that “land, sea, and air
forces, as well as other war potentials, will never be maintained” and that “the
right of belligerency of the state will not be recognized.”
If you read this literally, you would come away thinking that Japan is deprived the right
not only of using a force overseas but also of maintaining any armed force to
begin with. Yet, in reality, Japan has a kind of armed force
called Self Defense Forces totaling in number 240,000. The legal rational on
the existence of SDF is the interpretation of Article 9 that it does not deny
Japan as a sovereign nation the inherent right of self-defense and that use of
force as a means to defend the country against an armed attack does not violate
the Constitution.
Only for the purpose of this narrowly defined inherent right of
self-defense has Japan allowed itself to have
armed forces. The constitutional
constraint has been strictly interpreted to bar the SDF from engaging in any
combat-related activities except for strict self-defense against attacks on the
territory of Japan. It has also barred Japan from possessing any
offensive capabilities and constrained Japan from exercising the
right of collective self-defense. Given
the fact that no other nations have such a ban, Japan institutionally is the
most pacifist country on the face of the earth and also an abnormal entity as
opposed to an ordinary or normal member of the international community. Former U.N. Ambassador Hisashi
Owada,
once explained this by calling his own country “a handicapped nation.”
The initial aim of this constitutional restriction was apparently to disarm
Japan permanently lest it
should ever reemerge as a military power. It suited the post-war Japanese
pacifist inclination and enabled the country to concentrate on its “economic betterment”
single-mindedly. For the nearly five
decades leading up to the 1990s, the overwhelming majority of Japanese favored
keeping the Constitution as it was.
Externally as well it
suited the security environment for Japan’s defense against armed
attacks from the outside to be guaranteed by the United States, the senior partner in
the bilateral defense alliance. During the Cold War, the threat to Japan was clearly the Soviet Union, but the U.S. undertook the main task
of deterring it, relieving Japan of most of defense
burdens. Thus, Japan felt no need to be
concerned about its own defense and security.
However,
in the post-Cold War world, the international security situation in general and
the situation surrounding Japan in particular have
changed drastically. Potential threats
and destabilizing factors to Japan have become more
diversified, more direct and sometimes more imminent. While Japan’s alliance with the United States has remained firm, the
new security-related developments unwittingly have highlighted Japan’s inherent anomalous
security problems and its institutional inability to cope even with minor
security threats on its own.
As
a consequence of a series of incidents that highlighted this weakness, both
Japanese leaders and the public came to develop an uncomfortably deep sense of
vulnerability and apprehension about their own national security. This in turn helped to raise the national
consciousness in support of a stronger security and defense.
Among the developments that brought about significant changes, the
following deserve special note.
A.
North Korea clearly tops the list.
The
decade of 1990s began with North Korean missile tests into the Sea of Japan. The tests were followed in short order by a
series of other alarming events for Japan, including the 1993-94 nuclear crisis
on the Korean Peninsula, the 1998 Taepo-Dong missile
launch over Japan, North Korean spy ship intrusions into the Japanese
territorial water that resulted in an unprecedented shootout, October 2002
nuclear crisis, more North Korean missile firing into the Sea of Japan and,
April 2003 North Korea’s declaration that it has nuclear weapons.
On
top of these military moves, the North Korean leader Kim Jong
Il, admitted in September 2002 that his country’s
agents had abducted innocent Japanese young men and women from their own
territory over many years to use them to train North Korean spies and to steal
their identities for the spies. Although five of the abductees acknowledged by
the North Korean government were allowed to return to Japan after some 20 years,
their children are still held. Japanese
investigators believe that the actual number of the abductees may exceed one
hundred.
The
Japanese sense of vulnerability and concern resulting from the North Korean
threat was exacerbated further by developments in South Korea. South Korean leadership under President Kim Dae Jung began to take a benign posture under the banner of
“Sunshine Policy” toward North Korea. His successor Ro Moo Hyun went even further
and refused to consider his Northern neighbor as a threat at all. This change has been perceived by many in Japan as a loss of an
important ally against North Korean, creating in the Japanese public a broad
sense of need for more solid national security measures.
B.
Secondly, China’s vigorous military activities in the region also deepened
the Japanese sense of vulnerability and alarm.
For
nearly twenty years, China has been steadily
increasing the open part of its annual military expenditures by double-digit
percentages. China has deployed
approximately 500 ballistic missiles in the area near the Taiwan Strait. While most are clearly targeted at Taiwan, many can strike
Japanese territory as well. Chinese
willingness to use missiles for one purpose or another was demonstrated
repeatedly at the times of Taiwan’s elections.
Recently
Chinese officials warned Japan that Japanese
deployment of missile defense in conjunction with the United States would weaken China’s deterrence against Japan. This was as close to an admission as we have
had that China is actually targeting Japan with its missiles,
creating concern and surprise among many Japanese.
Territorial
incursions also continue. China has sent military
vessels of various sorts on numerous occasions into Japanese territorial waters
as well as Japan’s Exclusive Economic
Zone (EEZ). Most
recently the Chinese government also “allowed” seven so-called “non-government
activists” to land onto Japan’s Senkaku Islands.
What
looms behind all these tangible activities is China’s longstanding
opposition to Japan’s defense alliance with
the United States. For the past year or two the Chinese
leadership has moderated this position rhetorically, yet it does not fail to
continue expressing clear displeasure to any move taken by Japan intended to strengthen
the alliance.
C.
Thirdly, America’s new policy and attitudes have helped Japan translate a sense of vulnerability into a heightened
awareness for national security.
Although successive
American administrations urged Japan to do more for defense,
none encouraged Japan either to become able to exercise the right of collective
self-defense or to revise the Constitution.
In fact, the opposite was the case for most of the post war period. When asked, some officials of the Clinton
Administration, for example, expressed concern about or opposition to Japan heading in that direction. They frequently cited China’s negative reaction or
claimed that such a change might lead to a revival of Japanese militarism. The oft-mentioned “the cork in the bottle”
remark made by a U.S. commander in Okinawa is an example of this
school of thought.
The Bush Administration, however, departed from this longstanding
position and stated both publicly and privately that Japan without the existing
defense constraint would be a better and more efficient ally and partner. From a Japanese perspective, for the first
time the U.S. government had started
encouraging Japan to become “a normal
country” within the framework of Japanese-American defense alliance. This new paradigm on the part of the Bush
Administration was first enunciated prior to the ascendancy of the
administration in the October 2000 report: U.S. and Japan: Advancing Toward A Mature Partnership, guided by the now Deputy
Secretary of State Richard Armitage. Under this new policy, Administration
officials have unhesitatingly urged the Japanese government to retain the right
of collective self-defense and have even suggested that Constitutional revision
would be fine with the U.S. or more precisely with the bilateral alliance based
on the U.S.-Japanese Security Treaty.
This was welcomed enthusiastically by Japanese “normal country”
proponents.
Japan’s current efforts to
normalize security and defense aspects of its national mechanism have clear
support of the majority of Japanese people.
In a way it is only natural because pursuit of these policy changes was
initially prompted by the apprehension and frustration of a broad segment of
the Japanese public.
Desire for change is
also clearly evident in the National Diet. The emergency national defense
legislation that was enacted in June 2003, for example, was approved by nearly
90%, an overwhelming majority of the members of both Houses of the Diet. It was
a phenomenal change compared to the situation 10 years earlier when a brief
attempt by the ruling party to introduce such a bill was met by fierce
opposition from other political parties and a good part of media.
Proposals
to consider revision of Article 9 of the Constitution, which had long been
regarded as sacrosanct, are now widely supported in the Diet (depending on the
survey, more than 60% or more than 70% of the Diet members support such
change.) This does not mean that the
Japanese Constitution will be revised within the next couple of years, but
measures to reduce the extent of the defense-related constraint definitely would
be promoted further in the years to come.
It
is important to note that Japan’s pursuit of new
defense measures and policies is proceeding in tandem with the strengthening of
its defense ties with the U.S. Increased military activities by both North Korea and China have clearly
contributed to this trend. While Japan’s increased awareness
of threat and sense of vulnerability have supported its own new measures, they
have also raised the level of support for the alliance with the sole
super-power.
Currently all political parties in Japan except for the
Communist Party support the bilateral alliance.
This is significant, because until 20 years ago the only party that
unequivocally supported it was the ruling LDP.
Overwhelming majority of the public also favors the alliance with
opinion polls consistently showing more than 70% approving its continuation.
Japanese
government’s speedy decisions to support the U.S. in its wars against the
Taliban and Hussein regimes were in large part prompted by a concern not to do
harm to the alliance to the U.S. Prime Minister Junichiro
Koizumi, when asked to explain why he had announced his endorsement of American
military action against Iraq, said that it is only
natural for Japan to support its
ally. He punctuated his answer by adding
that the U.S. is the only country in
the world that will come to the defense of Japan, “if and when” Japan comes under attack from
a third country.
Against this background it is easy to understand Japan’s new security-related
undertakings as reasonable responses and not a cause for concern. For one thing, all of the measures are reactive,
prompted by the changes in the external security environment, and best
described as an effort to fill the holes. No measure calls for development of power projection
capability or possession of offensive weapons.
Contrary to some American press reports of two years ago, Japanese
political leaders and policy makers consider nuclear armament out of the
question so long as Japan has the benefit of the
American nuclear umbrella. Charges that
they will lead to a revival of militarism are also groundless in contemporary
democratic Japan where aversion to
militarism has been so firmly imbedded.
Japan’s government and people
clearly consider maintenance of the alliance with the U.S. as the primary
underpinning of Japanese national security policy and envision continued
American presence as the key regional Asian power. There is no interest on the part of Japan to turn into a new
assertive regional military power on its own.
Any new security measures Japan may take will continue
to fully remain within the U.S.-Japanese security framework.
The
bottom line is that Japan’s trend toward normalcy
and new defense-security consciousness make it a stronger force of regional
status-quo, not a destabilizing regional player.